Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.137619 0.156362 0.177078 0.201733 0.230354 0.262625 0.301894
2026-02-08 0.106244 0.130844 0.160636 0.199637 0.249731 0.312428 0.397650
2026-02-15 0.087429 0.114091 0.148596 0.197066 0.264267 0.355428 0.490662
2026-02-22 0.077014 0.105308 0.143956 0.201505 0.286574 0.410186 0.608062
2026-03-01 0.067170 0.095393 0.135679 0.198624 0.296802 0.448035 0.706572
2026-03-08 0.060314 0.088566 0.130499 0.198907 0.310929 0.492987 0.823886
2026-03-15 0.054639 0.082642 0.125676 0.198660 0.323576 0.536841 0.947241
2026-03-22 0.050867 0.079114 0.123975 0.202933 0.343967 0.596598 1.110990
2026-03-29 0.047363 0.075555 0.121693 0.205719 0.361871 0.654478 1.283108
2026-04-05 0.044248 0.072258 0.119393 0.208017 0.378984 0.713398 1.469983
2026-04-12 0.041893 0.069970 0.118507 0.212646 0.401029 0.785505 1.701646
2026-04-19 0.039205 0.066813 0.115705 0.213231 0.415017 0.843246 1.914040
2026-04-26 0.036622 0.063640 0.112624 0.213052 0.427789 0.901539 2.144972
2026-05-03 0.034072 0.060293 0.108882 0.211103 0.436578 0.952769 2.372394
2026-05-10 0.031706 0.057064 0.105028 0.208415 0.443287 1.000353 2.603145
2026-05-17 0.030407 0.055737 0.104725 0.213154 0.467592 1.095175 2.994488
2026-05-24 0.028409 0.052868 0.101053 0.210086 0.472992 1.143318 3.261629
2026-05-31 0.026928 0.050894 0.099008 0.210388 0.486636 1.215798 3.627654
2026-06-07 0.025523 0.048951 0.096837 0.210124 0.498819 1.286810 4.012250
2026-06-14 0.024651 0.048024 0.096728 0.214679 0.524216 1.400603 4.584950
2026-06-21 0.023707 0.046866 0.096000 0.217648 0.545896 1.508337 5.175899
2026-06-28 0.022789 0.045684 0.095107 0.220099 0.566588 1.617809 5.816490
2026-07-05 0.022112 0.044969 0.095193 0.225033 0.595213 1.759267 6.646294